I guess the election is coming into some focus. And granted, there is some guy of stature out there with this thought that is 1980 in reverse — right up until the end an even polling one way and another until the bottom falls out at the end for Carter because of a gut response that “Reagan is sane enough.” – – with signs all along in the beltway pointing to to the disaster for the losing party — the fissuring and fracturing of local and state parties. And granted too the error sensation that while Biden is carefully looking over the constituency parts of a coalition that would get to 270 electoral votes, Trump may just be going around ginning up supporters to accept his win as a fait accompli and if the networks declare Biden won, we have the stories he did not and we gotta storm the capitol building again to take what is rightfully ours.

But. My sense of what Biden is staring at. Georgia and Michigan slipping just out of grasp, and hopefully states to win but not rely on as tipping points. A sizable enough black electorate is being pulled by Trump’s sneakers and it is possible there just is not enough white suburbanites to pull in. In addition to this problem, Michigan is ground zero for Gaza disruption. Pennsylvania is more positive than Wisconsin — which may just be the tipping point swing state, and the sliding away of Harry Reid and his potent political machine that always had the state outperforming the polls may have not set in yet, with Arizona sitting in the weird nexus of trying to find more white suburbanites to offset some weird Latino losses and border immigration angst. The next question is — North Carolina… Watch and hope… The Republican gubernatorial candidate, amirite???

After that… Well.

I

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