dope a rope
Continue to stumble on hic-ups in otherwise sound political electoral analyses. Try this about here:
If you think Joe Biden’s endorsement from Representative Jim Clyburn ahead of his 2020 South Carolina primary victory means Sununu can do the same for Haley in New Hampshire, think again. Biden was never behind in South Carolina polling, let alone trailing by double-digits.
And off to a link showing South Carolina primary polling, polling which showed that — yep! Biden was never behind. And results showing a 13 point surge from the final polls, which itself were about 10 points above the bottoming out a week or so prior. And, no I was not ever going to specify Sununu in particular, but as a conglomeration with anyone and anything else — message to pre Trump Republicans: it is Haley or no one — the effect of a 23 point swing — is what is needed — to win New Hampshire, and into South Carolina — and there is the only chance in Hell.
In the meantime, Iowa sits there. Stops whatever thought anyone has of such a thing. Caucuses. And I have a bit of a theory — you know that idea, a shy Trump voter — so much social stigma in certain parts and places to admit that, yes I am casting my lot with Trump — throw the polls off in 2016, maybe? Well, at this point who wants to be the lead of a bunch of Republicans in a room of Trump Republicans saying we need someone else? I guess someone was in 2020 — Bill Weld came away with a delegate.