Odd thoughts on that map
Thursday, November 12th, 2020Geographically, something interests me with this one…
Now, fill in the light reds and light blue — the vote tally is not about to change. And there is one inaccuracy not filled — there needs to a snatch of blue in Nebraska, and the red for bulk of physical Maine — perhaps the redistricters in Nebraska will think of this stray electoral vote in redrawing for partisan purposes, or perhaps they will remain wrary of depositing Democratic votes in the other districts.
The Maine vote and Alaska has the unfortunate effect of disrupting what would otherwise be one continuous Republican mass — if with the various Democratic blue intrusions, though of course the effect comes merely due to stateline political structures. As were, the Republicans can be broken into three stretches. The Democrats are stuck in a more jagged six stretches… If not for the intrusion of Canadian waters or the state of Ohio, the northern tier woulda broken it down to a more managable five.
As stands, it is twice what you get with 1976, when Jimmy Carter was King of the East, and notably that odd twin Alaska and Hawaii will always make continuity well nigh impossible. Naturally, larger landmasses than the Democrats suffered with their two islands — Massachsetts or Minnesota, and the District of Columbia — in 1972 and 1988 against three masses for Republican red.
In inveighing election results…
This is understood by your “What’s the Matter with Kansa”ns as “the rubes hoodwinked to voting against their interests”, but as you can digest… It is different than that.
Most Americans, Witko said, have political beliefs that are less consistent than those of the politicians they vote for. They want better health care but lower taxes; a smaller government but a bigger military; higher wages but cheaper products. In a 2014 study, researchers found that most so-called “moderate voters†were, in fact, people who hold extreme positions from both the political right and the political left.
I can’t tell what the tone of this 538 twitterer is, but it sounds — more or less (not perfectly, but everyone such will be the price for everyone’s explanation) — fair enough to me.
That last one will always be a curious one for me — for a retort it does seem Biden is slightly more likely to continue war in Afghanistan and Trump is more likely in Iran — but telling that this falls off the ledger completely on those “In Our America” sloganeering litany flags all woke businesses dropped on their doors in December 2016 — even as it was what animated the previous decade and a half of this contingent.
But I imagine the swing basically falls down to an assurance that… we won’t be pressed into entertaining this thought on eleventh hour miltary brass shake-ups.
Or, in the most extreme scenario, would Trump try to get the military to help him stay in office beyond Inauguration Day?
Never low key rankles — and sure, but can’t eleventh hour manuevers be taken back to ninth hour manuevers?
Y’know… Though this election night hand wringing comes off flat…
It is bad analysis typical of Trump coverage…
will soon be apparent whether Biden’s low-key, some say lackadaisical, campaign was brilliant or foolish. One upside for Biden: it kept the focus on Trump, making the election a referendum on the president. Conversely, Biden’s making fewer campaign stops may turn out to have been too cautious.
The mismanagement of Trump’s campaign is one for the ages. If he overcomes it, the president will have been lucky. Hundreds of millions of dollars ill-spent, a campaign manager with a Ferrari who was only dispatched when it was too late, an inability to master small donor online fundraising—all of it made this campaign the gang that couldn’t shoot straight. In the final days of the race, Trump was forced to jet to California, a state where he stands no chance, to hustle money the old fashioned way—with a pricy fundraiser
Like it or not, it was what brought him, and ends up right there self – contradictory in assessment. Meanwhile, Democrats are stuck on a batch of high priced high profile senate defeats… Strategy needs to be thought and considered, don’t it, beyond this rote note.