figuring out British elections
I. Â Scotland holds a vote on whether to secede from the United Kingdom. Â With the whole of the British political establishment working overtime to defeat the measure, Scotland rejects the measure narrowly, arguing for a rocky future where dreams of nationhood are not likely to be appeased.
II. Â After two years of holding steady leads in the poll, the Labour Party loses to the Incumbent Conservative Party, and David Cameron commences his second glorious term with an out-right majority. Â His victory margin comes thanks to a pledge to a voting bloc of Euro-skeptic Isolationists to hold a referendum on leaving the EU, something he personally opposes but — that oughta appease them.
III. Â With three credible candidates up for the leadership role, Â the grassroots brings to power the fourth not credible candidate, Jeremy Corbyn — a back-bencher remnant of a long since discredited Far Left faction of the party, a crusty old figure who immediately becomes a laughing-stock on the national stage and appears headed to taking the party off the cliff. Â Senior Party members try to step out of the way to be in position to pick up the pieces after the looming disaster.
IV. Â The Brexit vote is held. Â Cameron tries to rally a constituency that is not his own to come to the polls and stop the madness. Â The Euro-skeptic isolationists narrowly win.
V. Â Theresa May replaces the now disgraced Cameron, converting full force to a Brexit true believer. Â Promising stability, she vows not to hold a new snap election to consolidate power. Â After looking at the polls and with a few historic drubbings of Labour in local elections, she cynically reverses course. Â Because what could go wrong when make a cynical political move in an anti-politician environment, and also throw up a proxy vote for a measure that passed by a slim majority?
VI. Â Theresa May loses the Conservative Majority, and now has to turn to Northern Irish Nationalists to form a majority. Â (Because what can possibly go wrong with that alliance?) After losing less badly than everyone else, Jeremey Corbyn is heralded as a genius — someone who during the course of a national campaign found his footing and who has galvanized a dormant section of the electorate — a man of steadfast conviction who has never wavered in the political winds. Â Meantime, the Scottish Nationalist Party (proxy for independence) loses serious ground and Labour regains its footing there.
The one question I’m stuck on for that Youth Vote that rallied for Corbyn — and it’s fair to call it Socialism, which means — oh — metaphorically “splitting the pie up more evenly” — was under-represented in that Brexit vote, whose effect was to — if you will — decrease the size of that pie. Â So — hm?