where the race stands
A greater proportion of educated women, a smaller proportion of uneducated men, a greater proportion of and a higher turn-out of Hispanics and a lower turn-out of Black voters. And a larger swarth of a third party vote that keeps everyone under 50.
And so goes Hillary Clinton’s coming — likely — win over Donald Trump as opposed to Barack Obama’s win over Mitt Romney.
I don’t know if this is “Generic Republican” versus “Generic Democrat”, in a race whose polling has shown greater volatility than typical — bumping from a “dead heat” to seemingly with Hillary Clinton just about to break out to a thumping maybe she doesn’t warrant but certainly Trump does. A decent amount of noise in the numbers, where partisan poll responses shy away a tad when their loosely aligned candidate has current bad news, with the “For the Love of God — don’t you remember why you were pulling away from Trump a week ago?” exhaustion.
And maybe the latest cloud of dust being cleared, Anthony Weiner’s email cache not changing the verdict you decided was either just or sweeping under the rug on Hillary Clinton, means the slight break-free for Hillary Clinton is at last coming to pass, and she can outdo Obama from 4 years ago…
… While losing Ohio and Iowa, but winning North Carolina.