The House Prognostication
Hotline’s listing of vulnerable House Races is quite a trip. We’ve got two tiers here — #1 through #30 and then #31 through #50.
#1 through #29 are Endangered Republican seats. #30 is an endangered Democratic seat. I suspect a bit of artful play here. You slide this Endengered Democrat either up or down to this 30th position to prove a point. The point, of coure, being that this is just not the Republican’s year. But, smarmy as all smarm comes out, there’s a Democrat for you — right there at the bottom. Whether he’d really belong at #28 or #33 if viewed in a somehow more calibrated-scientific sense — thus destroying this bemusing art display, I have no way of knowing.
The bottom tier remain rather placid, sans the suddenly Page-Scandal implicated Tom Reynolds who, obviously, popped up on the list out of the blue. This is a standard tic you’ll see in sports writer’s lists of the Top 25 College football teams — which, after going through the 10 teams that he has a strong opinion of in the top 10 and have unbeaten or once beaten records, he shrugs “Meh. I dunno.”